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Integrating Doctoral Seminar on Emerging Technologies >> Content Detail



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Lec #TOPICSREADINGS
Phase One
1Uncertainty

The Engineer's View

On the Power and the Limits of Analysis
McManus, Hugh, and Daniel Hastings. "A Framework for Understanding Uncertainty and its Mitigation and Exploitation in Complex Systems." (PDF) (Courtesy of Hugh McManus and Daniel Hastings. Used with permission.)

Amazon logo Simon, Herbert. "Rationality and Administrative Behavior," and "The Psychology of Administration." Chapters 4, and 5 in Administrative Behavior. 4th ed. New York, NY: Free Press, 1997. ISBN: 9780684835822.
2On Handling Messy ComplexityAmazon logo Hughes, Thomas P. Rescuing Prometheus. New York, NY: Knopf, 2000. ISBN: 9780679739388.
3The Engineering Mindset

Analysis of the Columbia Disaster
The Columbia Accident Investigation Board Report
4Bureaucratic Politics

Some Powerful Dumb Ideas about Politics and Policymaking
Allison, Graham, and Philip Zelikow. Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. 2nd ed. Boston, MA: Addison-Wesley Longman Inc., 1999, especially chapters 5, 6, and 7. ISBN: 0321033256.
5Technological Forecasting

Methods for Forecasting; Predictions for the Future; How have they Actually Worked?
U.S. Office of Technology Assessment Reports

"Ballistic Missile Defense Technologies." September 1985. (PDF - 5.0 MB)
"Computer-Based National Information Systems: Technology and Public Policy Issues." September 1981. (PDF - 2.7 MB)
"Nuclear Power in an Age of Uncertainty." February 1984. (PDF - 9.0 MB)

Amazon logo Cuhls, K., and T. Kuwahara. Outlook for Japanese and German Future Technology: Comparing Japanese and German Technology Forecast Surveys. Heidelberg, Germany: Physica-Verlag, 1994. ISBN: 9783790808001.
Phase Two: Structured Case Presentations
6GPS for Selected Applications
7Packet Switching for Data Communication
8The Minicomputer
9Supersonic Transport (SST)
10Seldane to Allegra
11The National Airspace System
Phase Three
12Ubiquitous Computing: Analysis and Review of Collected Material from the Last Year

 








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